Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005241 0.005530 0.005830 0.006163 0.006524 0.006905 0.007337
2026-01-25 0.004714 0.005131 0.005583 0.006110 0.006712 0.007382 0.008189
2026-02-01 0.004485 0.004989 0.005552 0.006232 0.007038 0.007972 0.009150
2026-02-08 0.004236 0.004789 0.005421 0.006205 0.007164 0.008312 0.009815
2026-02-15 0.004045 0.004636 0.005325 0.006201 0.007299 0.008653 0.010488
2026-02-22 0.003842 0.004453 0.005177 0.006114 0.007316 0.008836 0.010958
2026-03-01 0.003670 0.004294 0.005047 0.006037 0.007331 0.009008 0.011414
2026-03-08 0.003550 0.004194 0.004980 0.006032 0.007435 0.009293 0.012038
2026-03-15 0.003364 0.004001 0.004787 0.005851 0.007291 0.009231 0.012159
2026-03-22 0.003281 0.003934 0.004750 0.005871 0.007415 0.009541 0.012836
2026-03-29 0.003225 0.003898 0.004750 0.005938 0.007605 0.009950 0.013688
2026-04-05 0.003124 0.003800 0.004664 0.005882 0.007615 0.010098 0.014146
2026-04-12 0.003044 0.003727 0.004608 0.005867 0.007686 0.010341 0.014780
2026-04-19 0.002955 0.003639 0.004531 0.005817 0.007703 0.010502 0.015293
2026-04-26 0.002932 0.003638 0.004568 0.005930 0.007963 0.011050 0.016500
2026-05-03 0.002862 0.003570 0.004512 0.005906 0.008014 0.011272 0.017162
2026-05-10 0.002802 0.003516 0.004472 0.005902 0.008093 0.011541 0.017931
2026-05-17 0.002721 0.003428 0.004382 0.005821 0.008049 0.011605 0.018325
2026-05-24 0.002647 0.003349 0.004301 0.005749 0.008015 0.011680 0.018744
2026-05-31 0.002599 0.003303 0.004266 0.005744 0.008086 0.011937 0.019536
2026-06-07 0.002501 0.003186 0.004126 0.005575 0.007885 0.011714 0.019358
2026-06-14 0.002466 0.003156 0.004110 0.005594 0.007991 0.012029 0.020293
2026-06-21 0.002445 0.003145 0.004122 0.005657 0.008170 0.012485 0.021571